Baltimore Ravens vs. Buffalo Bills: 4 advanced stats that could tell the story – PennLive

Brandon Williams

AP

Baltimore Ravens protective end Brandon Williams prepares to take the field prior to a NFL football preseason game against the Green Bay Packers, Thursday, Aug. 15, 2019, in Baltimore. (AP Photo/Julio Cortez)

Every week of the NFL season, we’ll start to sneak peek the Baltimore Ravens‘ upcoming match by picking 4 innovative stats that might determine how the game will unfold. Today, we’re expecting Sunday’s bout in between the Ravens (10 -2) and Buffalo Costs (9-3) …

1) The Ravens’ defense is enabling 5.8 lawns per carry on runs outside of the takes on, the 2nd most in the NFL

Throughout their franchise-record eight-game winning streak, the Ravens have actually watched their defense round into type. Protective planner Don “Wink” Martindale’s group ranks 5th in the NFL in points enabled, ninth in lawns permitted and seventh in takeaways.

But Sunday’s 20-17 win over the San Francisco 49 ers brightened one location that stays somewhat of a weakness: defending ball-carriers on the edge.

NFL NextGen Stats provided the numbers that show the Ravens rank 31 st out of 32 NFL groups when it concerns stopping runners outside of the takes on. When opponents avoid Baltimore’s huge run-stuffers like Brandon Williams and Michel Pierce, they often find success testing the Ravens’ thin group of outside linebackers.

49 ers running back Raheem Mostert got 135 of his 146 rushing lawns Sunday on brings that went beyond the tackles.

As he evaluated film of the game, Ravens coach John Harbaugh had the ability to determine the struggles.

” The edge runs were more the issue for us,” Harbaugh stated.

The Expenses could try to reproduce the 49 ers’ success this week using their two flexible running backs, Frank Gore and Devin Singletary. Singletary’s the quicker ball-carrier who may be finest suited to assault the Ravens’ weak point, and Buffalo isn’t shy about running the ball; coach Sean McDermott likes to construct its offense around a steady dosage of the ground video game, using both backs and quarterback Josh Allen.

It seems Harbaugh and the Ravens anticipate the Costs to evaluate them on runs outside the tackles. Baltimore’s success defending those plays could play a big function in choosing how Sunday’s video game shakes out.

2) The Bills permit opposing passers to acquire approximately 5.1 yards per pass effort, the 3rd least in the NFL

For the second straight week, the Ravens are facing an opponent with a top-tier pass defense. MVP candidate quarterback Lamar Jackson endured his share of struggles against the 49 ers on Sunday, completing just 13 of 24 passes for 105 lawns.

Baltimore could attempt to attack the Expenses with their No. 1 ranked hurrying attack, but the Ravens have been at their best this season when they have actually had the ability to acquire balance. Groups like the Steelers, Seahawks and 49 ers have kept Jackson in check in part because of their strong play against the pass.

Buffalo has a rapid crew of linebackers and a few talented defensive backs like corner Tre’Davious White roaming the secondary. The Costs rank eighth in the NFL with 37 sacks, and they have actually allowed the second-fewest goal passes (9) in the league.

The Ravens counter with an offense that leads the NFL in points, backyards and time expired per ownership.

Not much can frighten Baltimore’s offense. Initially glance, however, Sunday’s match has the makings of a competitive one.

3) Josh Allen averages 9 intended air backyards per pass

Many of the hardest opponents the Ravens have actually faced during their winning streak– like the Steelers, Patriots and 49 ers– center their offenses around short passes. The Bills are different.

Buffalo likes to lean on the running video game and then let Allen air the ball out deep. His 9 air backyards per pass attempt are connected for the sixth most in the NFL, according to NextGen Statistics, and it assists that Allen has a target at his disposal like broad receiver John Brown.

The former Raven has balanced 14.5 lawns per catch this season and helps the Bills extend the field.

Baltimore cornerbacks Marcus Peters, Jimmy Smith and Marlon Humphrey will deal with a challenge Sunday.

4) The Ravens lead the NFL with 15 fourth-down conversions and rank second with a 48.9 third-down conversion rate

This stat brings importance on a weekly basis. The Ravens have the highest-scoring and most efficient offense in the NFL in part since they so rarely come off the field.

Jackson’s playmaking abilities and the group’s consistent production in the running game make Baltimore’s offense a juggernaut on 3rd downs. And coach John Harbaugh’s aggressiveness on 4th downs has just caused more difficult for defenses trying to stop the Ravens from extending drives.

The 49 ers succeeded Sunday to hold the Ravens to conversions on 3 of 10 3rd downs, but even San Francisco stumbled ultimately. Baltimore converted vital 3rd and fourth downs on its last drive to set up Justin Tucker’s game-winning 49- yard field goal.

It’s possible the Bills can end up being the very first group in months to really stonewall the Ravens’ offense, or perhaps Jackson will discover methods to move the chains regularly, the method he has week after week during a spectacular season. What’s particular is that it won’t be simple for Buffalo to force punts and keep its opponent off the scoreboard.

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Aaron Kasinitz covers the Baltimore Ravens for PennLive and can be reached at [email protected] or on Twitter @AaronKazreports. Follow PennLive’s Ravens coverage on Facebook and Youtube

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